Recreation Workers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $49,500 · outlook score 58/100 · BLS employment projections
United StatesConfidence ★★★★★
Median annual pay
$36,560
25th–75th pct. $31,780–$43,470
Top pay (est.)
$65,500
Top 10% $50,410
Pay in 5 years
$42,500est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$49,500est.
$42,600–$57,500
Outlook score
58/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
42%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.3%
67K openings / yr
Projected pay for Recreation Workers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.
Today $36,560 → in 3 years $40,000 → in 5 years $42,500 → in 10 years $49,500 (10-year range $42,600–$57,500). The model assumes pay growth of +3.1% per year.
$36,560
Now 2026
$40,000
In 3 yrs 2029
$37,000–$43,600
$42,500
In 5 yrs 2031
$38,300–$47,400
$49,500
In 10 yrs 2036
$42,600–$57,500
What drives the annual growth rate
Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.01%AI impact +0.06%Total +3.1% / yr
Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →
Outlook score for Recreation Workers
58/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #284 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
5 pts
AI resistance
58 pts
Entry barrier
62 pts
Annual openings
93 pts
Projected growth
66 pts
Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.
Labor demand for Recreation Workers
Employment
331K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
362K
2025–35
Projected change
+4.3%
ranked #276 for growth
Annual openings
67K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
78/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training
Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.