Will AI replace shuttle drivers and chauffeurs?AI replacement risk 37% and how the work is changing

United States Transportation Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay

$37,290

25th–75th pct. $32,710–$45,700

Top pay (est.)

$71,600

Top 10% $55,070

Pay in 5 years

$43,800est.

2031

Pay in 10 years

$51,400est.

$44,200–$59,600

Outlook score

63/100

★★★☆☆ Average

AI replacement risk

37%

Low

Job growth (10 yr)

+7.1%

36K openings / yr

Will AI replace Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs? AI replacement risk

37%

Low

Ranked #340 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs

Key skills

Monitoring

3.1

Social Perceptiveness

3.0

Critical Thinking

2.9

Active Listening

2.9

Coordination

2.9

Writing

2.8

Reading Comprehension

2.8

Service Orientation

2.8

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service

5.2

Public Safety and Security

4.9

Transportation

4.8

Administrative

4.2

English Language

4.1

Administration and Management

4.0

Psychology

4.0

Production and Processing

3.9

What the work involves

Assisting and Caring for OthersIdentifying Objects, Actions, and EventsGetting InformationPerforming for or Working Directly with the PublicUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeOperating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Important abilities

Far VisionReaction TimeOral ExpressionOral ComprehensionResponse OrientationRate Control

Education of workers

High school diploma

56%

Less than high school

17%

Training before entry

Over 10 years

20%

1–2 years

Related work experience

2–4 years

28%

None

24%

3–6 months

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Related occupations

	Occupation	Pay	Outlook	AI risk
1	Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW).	$58,640	53/100	42%
2	Light Truck Drivers Drive a light vehicle, such as a truck or van, with a capacity of less than 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW), primarily to pick up merchandise or packages from a distribution center and deliver.	$44,860	56/100	35%
3	Driver/Sales Workers Drive truck or other vehicle over established routes or within an established territory and sell or deliver goods, such as food products, including restaurant take-out items, or pick up or deliver items such as commercial laundry.	$38,770	58/100	32%
4	Bus Drivers, School Drive a school bus to transport students.	$47,920	43/100	45%
5	Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage.	$59,050	57/100	38%
6	Parking Attendants Park vehicles or issue tickets for customers in a parking lot or garage.	$35,150	40/100	42%

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.