Shigoto Zukan
日本語

Will AI replace substitute teachers, short-term?AI replacement risk 39% and how the work is changing

United States Education Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$41,670
25th–75th pct. $34,170–$54,890
Top pay (est.)
$85,500
Top 10% $65,790
Pay in 5 years
$48,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$55,900est.
$48,100–$64,900
Outlook score
49/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
39%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+2.0%
65K openings / yr

Will AI replace Substitute Teachers, Short-Term? AI replacement risk

39%
Low
Ranked #363 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Substitute Teachers, Short-Term

Key skills

Reading Comprehension
3.8
Active Listening
3.8
Social Perceptiveness
3.6
Speaking
3.5
Monitoring
3.4
Writing
3.4
Critical Thinking
3.2
Instructing
3.1

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

English Language
4.5
Customer and Personal Service
3.5
Education and Training
3.2
Computers and Electronics
3.1
History and Archeology
2.8
Philosophy and Theology
2.7
Public Safety and Security
2.6
Psychology
2.6

What the work involves

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsIdentifying Objects, Actions, and EventsAssisting and Caring for OthersOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkResolving Conflicts and Negotiating with OthersCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesMaking Decisions and Solving Problems

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionWritten ExpressionWritten ComprehensionSpeech ClarityProblem Sensitivity

Education of workers

Bachelor's degree
40%
Associate's degree
35%
Some college
10%
High school diploma
10%
Master's degree
5%

Training before entry

None / short demo
43%
Up to 1 month
34%
1–3 months
8%
3–6 months
8%
4–10 years
3%
2–4 years
1%
1–2 years
1%

Related work experience

None
40%
1–2 years
29%
6–12 months
17%
Up to 1 month
9%
6–8 years
3%
2–4 years
1%

Job Zone 4 — considerable preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.