Substitute Teachers, Short-Term job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $55,900 · outlook score 49/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Education Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$41,670
25th–75th pct. $34,170–$54,890
Top pay (est.)
$85,500
Top 10% $65,790
Pay in 5 years
$48,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$55,900est.
$48,100–$64,900
Outlook score
49/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
39%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+2.0%
65K openings / yr

Projected pay for Substitute Teachers, Short-Term (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $41,670 → in 3 years $45,500 → in 5 years $48,300 → in 10 years $55,900 (10-year range $48,100–$64,900). The model assumes pay growth of +3.0% per year.

$41,670
Now
2026
$45,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$42,000–$49,500
$48,300
In 5 yrs
2031
$43,500–$53,800
$55,900
In 10 yrs
2036
$48,100–$64,900

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.1%AI impact +0.08%Total +3.0% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Substitute Teachers, Short-Term

49/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #518 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
14 pts
AI resistance
61 pts
Entry barrier
52 pts
Annual openings
76 pts
Projected growth
41 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Substitute Teachers, Short-Term

Employment
525K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
567K
2025–35
Projected change
+2.0%
ranked #474 for growth
Annual openings
65K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
62/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.