Will AI replace surgeons, all other?AI replacement risk 15% and how the work is changing
Median annual pay
$414,010
25th–75th pct. $134,850–$511,420
Top pay (est.)
$851,900
Top 10% $655,320
Pay in 5 years
$486,100est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$570,700est.
$490,800–$662,600
Outlook score
65/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
15%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.0%
700 openings / yr
Will AI replace Surgeons, All Other? AI replacement risk
15%
Very low
Ranked #69 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
How AI is changing this job
A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.
AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →
Skills, education and requirements for Surgeons, All Other
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.