Will AI replace taxi drivers?AI replacement risk 40% and how the work is changing
Median annual pay
$42,100
25th–75th pct. $37,790–$60,960
Top pay (est.)
$98,500
Top 10% $75,800
Pay in 5 years
$49,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$59,100est.
$50,800–$68,600
Outlook score
65/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
40%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+11.5%
20K openings / yr
Will AI replace Taxi Drivers? AI replacement risk
40%
Low
Ranked #375 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
How AI is changing this job
A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.
AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →
Skills, education and requirements for Taxi Drivers
Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)
Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.