Shigoto Zukan
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Writers and Authors job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $93,500 · outlook score 48/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Writing & Media Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$76,910
25th–75th pct. $58,230–$101,950
Top pay (est.)
$181,800
Top 10% $139,870
Pay in 5 years
$84,800est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$93,500est.
$80,400–$108,600
Outlook score
48/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
77%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
−0.3%
12K openings / yr

Projected pay for Writers and Authors (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $76,910 → in 3 years $81,600 → in 5 years $84,800 → in 10 years $93,500 (10-year range $80,400–$108,600). The model assumes pay growth of +2.0% per year.

$76,910
Now
2026
$81,600
In 3 yrs
2029
$75,300–$88,700
$84,800
In 5 yrs
2031
$76,400–$94,500
$93,500
In 10 yrs
2036
$80,400–$108,600

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.21%AI impact -0.81%Total +2.0% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Writers and Authors

48/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #540 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
69 pts
AI resistance
23 pts
Entry barrier
58 pts
Annual openings
95 pts
Projected growth
26 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Writers and Authors

Employment
48K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
140K
2025–35
Projected change
−0.3%
ranked #599 for growth
Annual openings
12K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
52/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.