作業療法士(OT) job outlookprojected pay in 10 years ¥6.17M · outlook score 62/100 · labor demand

Japan Healthcare Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥4.44M
≈ $28,210
Top pay (est.)
¥7.34M
Top 10% ¥6.37M
Pay in 5 years
¥5.23Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥6.17Mest.
¥5.31M–¥7.17M
Outlook score
62/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
9%
Very low
Labor demand
High
Openings-to-applicants 3.08x

Projected pay for 作業療法士(OT) (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today ¥4.44M → in 3 years ¥4.90M → in 5 years ¥5.23M → in 10 years ¥6.17M (10-year range ¥5.31M–¥7.17M). The model assumes pay growth of +3.4% per year.

¥4.44M
Now
2026
¥4.90M
In 3 yrs
2029
¥4.52M–¥5.33M
¥5.23M
In 5 yrs
2031
¥4.71M–¥5.83M
¥6.17M
In 10 yrs
2036
¥5.31M–¥7.17M

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand +0.94%Wage momentum +0.31%AI impact +0.31%Total +3.4% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for 作業療法士(OT)

62/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #98 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
91 pts
Entry barrier
83 pts
Pay level
33 pts
Labor demand
88 pts
Wage momentum
28 pts
Aging workforce
1 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for 作業療法士(OT)

Openings-to-applicants ratio
3.08x
ranked #62 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
High
75/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥267,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
36.2
Hours per month
157
Openings in 5 years
+19.2%
est.
Openings in 10 years
+34.6%
est.

A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.