大学・短期大学教員 job outlookprojected pay in 10 years ¥13.69M · outlook score 62/100 · labor demand

Japan Education Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥10.83M
≈ $68,848
Top pay (est.)
¥21.80M
Top 10% ¥18.14M
Pay in 5 years
¥12.18Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥13.69Mest.
¥11.78M–¥15.90M
Outlook score
62/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
25%
Low
Labor demand
Low
Openings-to-applicants 1.38x

Projected pay for 大学・短期大学教員 (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today ¥10.83M → in 3 years ¥11.62M → in 5 years ¥12.18M → in 10 years ¥13.69M (10-year range ¥11.78M–¥15.90M). The model assumes pay growth of +2.4% per year.

¥10.83M
Now
2026
¥11.62M
In 3 yrs
2029
¥10.73M–¥12.64M
¥12.18M
In 5 yrs
2031
¥10.97M–¥13.56M
¥13.69M
In 10 yrs
2036
¥11.78M–¥15.90M

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand +0.09%Wage momentum +0.1%AI impact +0.19%Retirement shortage +0.2%Total +2.4% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for 大学・短期大学教員

62/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #98 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
75 pts
Pay level
97 pts
Labor demand
44 pts
Wage momentum
10 pts
Aging workforce
100 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for 大学・短期大学教員

Openings-to-applicants ratio
1.38x
ranked #301 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
Low
37/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥245,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
57.5
Hours per month
161
Openings in 5 years
+9.4%
est.
Openings in 10 years
+16.9%
est.

A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Oct 31, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.