鉄道運転計画・運行管理 鉄道運転計画・運行管理

Japan Office & Admin 分類:06_042-02 Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥5.80M
≈ $36,865
Top pay (est.)
¥10.04M
Top 10% ¥8.62M
Pay in 5 years
¥6.85Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥8.10Mest.
¥6.97M–¥9.41M
Outlook score
64/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
73%
High
Labor demand
Very high
Openings-to-applicants 3.00x

What 鉄道運転計画・運行管理 do

An English description is being prepared. Japanese description:

鉄道運転計画の仕事は、社会経済動向や鉄道会社の経営方針を踏まえ、列車の運転計画を立て、列車ダイヤを作成する。
 線路が複線か単線か、駅と駅の距離や時間、停車時間、運行列車の走行性能、優等列車による追い抜き、他の列車との接続はどうかなど、様々な条件を調整する。鉄道利用者は、季節、曜日、時間などによって違い、乗車駅や降車駅、乗継駅も様々であるため、ダイヤ改正時などには鉄道輸送市場の調査・分析、客の要望や動向を踏まえて需要想定を行い、より利用しやすい列車ダイヤを作案する。また、乗務員の運用、駅や乗務員の要員配置などの諸条件を調整しながら旅客や荷主にとって利用しやすい計画を作成する。
 鉄道運行管理の仕事は、決められた列車ダイヤに基づいて列車が計画通りに走っているか運行状況を把握し、管理する。
 保線や信号、電力設備などの保守作業が時間どおりに計画した区間で行われているかを確認する。また、CTC(列車集中制御装置)センターで、ポイントの切り換えや信号の表示などを遠隔操作で行う。地震や事故などで列車が遅れた時には、遅れの状況や復旧の見込みなどの情報を集め、行先駅の変更や追い越し駅の変更、列車の運休など運転計画を修正する。これを運転士、車掌、駅務員に指示し、遅れた列車ダイヤを安全に留意し一刻も早く正常に戻す作業を行うのが任務となる。

◇ よく使う道具、機材、情報技術等
 CTC(列車集中制御装置)、表計算ソフト(Excel、Googleスプレッドシート等)、パソコン

Employment type of workers

鉄道運転計画・運行管理 salary

The average annual pay for 鉄道運転計画・運行管理 in Japan is ¥5.80M (≈ $36,865; Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), national). The estimated median is ¥5.39M, the typical range is ¥3.91M–¥10.04M and the top 10% earn about ¥8.62M.

Average pay
¥5.80M
≈ $36,865
Median (est.)
¥5.39M
≈ $34,277
Low end (est.)
¥3.91M
Entry level, early 20s
Top 10% (est.)
¥8.62M
≈ $54,817
Top pay (est.)
¥10.04M
≈ $63,847
Hourly wage
¥2,729
2.3× the national minimum wage (¥1,177)
Advertised monthly wage
¥242,000
vs. last year +¥12,000

How does your pay compare with people your age?

Your numbers are not sent or stored. The distribution is estimated from Japan's national wage statistics, including pay differences by age.

Pay by ageest.

20s
¥4.05M
30s
¥4.84M
40s
¥5.53M
50s
¥6.16M

Estimated from the average pay and average age (48.6) using the age-wage curve of the Basic Survey on Wage Structure.

Pay by experienceest.

Entry level
¥4.30M
1–3 yrs
¥4.80M
3–5 yrs
¥5.30M
5–10 yrs
¥5.95M
10+ yrs
¥6.69M

Pay by employment typeest.

Full-time employee ¥5.80MPart-time ¥2.43MFreelance / self-employed ¥6.09MContract / temp ¥4.52M

The average hourly wage of ¥2,729 is 2.3× Japan's national average minimum wage of ¥1,177 (fiscal 2026). Minimum wage by prefecture →

Japanese pay is shown in yen (¥5.57M = 5.57 million yen ≈ 557万円). Dollar figures use the current rate of 157.25 yen per dollar and are for reference only; purchasing power differs.

Pay over time

YearAverage payEmploymentOpenings ratio
2021¥4.54M——
2022¥4.85M——
2023¥4.91M—3.22x
2024¥5.06M—3.33x
2025¥5.80M—3.00x

How median, percentiles and the pay range are defined →

Projected pay for 鉄道運転計画・運行管理 (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today ¥5.80M → in 3 years ¥6.41M → in 5 years ¥6.85M → in 10 years ¥8.10M (10-year range ¥6.97M–¥9.41M). The model assumes pay growth of +3.4% per year.

¥5.80M
Now
2026
¥6.41M
In 3 yrs
2029
¥5.92M–¥6.97M
¥6.85M
In 5 yrs
2031
¥6.18M–¥7.63M
¥8.10M
In 10 yrs
2036
¥6.97M–¥9.41M

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand +0.9%Wage momentum +1.2%AI impact -0.69%Retirement shortage +0.2%Total +3.4% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for 鉄道運転計画・運行管理

64/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #77 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
27 pts
Entry barrier
20 pts
Pay level
67 pts
Labor demand
87 pts
Wage momentum
98 pts
Aging workforce
89 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Will AI replace 鉄道運転計画・運行管理? AI replacement risk

73%
High
Ranked #448 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Labor demand for 鉄道運転計画・運行管理

Openings-to-applicants ratio
3.00x
ranked #71 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
Very high
89/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥242,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
48.6
Hours per month
163
Openings in 5 years
+9.7%
est.
Openings in 10 years
+17.5%
est.

A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.

The same job in the United States

鉄道運転計画・運行管理
Japan
Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance
United States
Median / average pay¥5.80M
≈ $36,865
$50,340
Pay in 10 years (est.)¥8.10M$64,800
Outlook score6433
AI replacement risk73% High57% Moderate
Workers—203K

Matched by occupation (SOC code). Yen converted at 157.25 JPY/USD for reference; Japanese figures are averages, U.S. figures are medians, and the surveys define occupations differently.

Skills, education and requirements for 鉄道運転計画・運行管理

Key skills

Active Listening
4.5
Coordination
4.2
Speaking
4.0
Instructing
4.0
Writing
3.9
Time Management
3.9
Monitoring
3.7
Social Perceptiveness
3.7

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Transportation
3.0
Administrative
2.0
Education and Training
1.7
Personnel and Human Resources
1.7
Public Safety and Security
1.5
Customer and Personal Service
1.4
Administration and Management
1.3
English Language
1.2

What the work involves

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with StandardsIdentifying Objects, Actions, and EventsPerforming Administrative ActivitiesUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsGetting InformationMaking Decisions and Solving Problems

Important abilities

Problem SensitivityReaction TimeTime SharingSelective AttentionMemorizationOral Expression

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

No specific license or certification is required.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★★☆☆ Moderate (from education, training, experience, licenses)

How to become 鉄道運転計画・運行管理

The typical path in Japan is shown by the education, training and experience of current workers above and in the Japanese guidance below. A detailed English guide for this occupation is being prepared.

Guidance from job tag (Japanese)
入職にあたって、特に学歴や資格は必要とされない。高校や大学などを卒業後、鉄道会社に就職し、駅務員や車掌、運転士などを経験して、能力や適性によって鉄道運行管理の仕事、更にその後、鉄道運転計画の仕事へと進むのが一般的である。
 鉄道運行管理の仕事は、遅れたダイヤをできるだけ早く正常のダイヤに戻すために、列車の運休などを駅や乗務員などの関係者に迅速に伝えなければならないため、情報を収集し、分析する能力、冷静沈着ですばやい判断力、責任感が求められる。
 鉄道運行計画の仕事は、季節、曜日、時間などによって異なる需要動向、利用客のニーズを把握し、分析する力を身につけ、担当する線区の設備状況などを把握する必要があり、列車運行の第一線の経験が求められる。

Career path and how to earn more as 鉄道運転計画・運行管理

Career-path guidance is being prepared. Pay by experience is shown in the Pay section.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.