Will AI replace 外科医?AI replacement risk 30% and how the work is changing

Japan Healthcare Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥15.12M
≈ $96,169
Top pay (est.)
¥31.45M
Top 10% ¥26.01M
Pay in 5 years
¥17.20Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥19.56Mest.
¥16.82M–¥22.71M
Outlook score
71/100
★★★★☆ Good
AI replacement risk
30%
Low
Labor demand
High
Openings-to-applicants 1.95x

Will AI replace 外科医? AI replacement risk

30%
Low
Ranked #155 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for 外科医

Key skills

Reading Comprehension
5.3
Speaking
5.3
Active Listening
5.1
Active Learning
4.8
Social Perceptiveness
4.7
Writing
4.7
Monitoring
4.6
Critical Thinking
4.6

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Medicine and Dentistry
4.7
Therapy and Counseling
3.0
Biology
2.8
Psychology
2.5
Education and Training
2.1
Public Safety and Security
2.1
Foreign Language
2.0
English Language
1.9

What the work involves

Assisting and Caring for OthersMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkGetting InformationMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsIdentifying Objects, Actions, and EventsUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Important abilities

Problem SensitivityFinger DexterityManual DexterityArm-Hand SteadinessSelective AttentionOral Expression

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

Related qualifications listed on job tag (names in Japanese). Some are mandatory, others recommended.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★★★★ Hard to enter (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.