気象予報士 job outlookprojected pay in 10 years ¥6.89M · outlook score 46/100 · labor demand
JapanConfidence ★★★☆☆
Average annual pay
¥5.83M
≈ $37,094
Top pay (est.)
¥10.11M
Top 10% ¥8.68M
Pay in 5 years
¥6.34Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥6.89Mest.
¥5.93M–¥8.00M
Outlook score
46/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
83%
Very high
Labor demand
Average
Openings-to-applicants 0.77x
Projected pay for 気象予報士 (3, 5 and 10 years)est.
Today ¥5.83M → in 3 years ¥6.13M → in 5 years ¥6.34M → in 10 years ¥6.89M (10-year range ¥5.93M–¥8.00M). The model assumes pay growth of +1.7% per year.
¥5.83M
Now 2026
¥6.13M
In 3 yrs 2029
¥5.66M–¥6.67M
¥6.34M
In 5 yrs 2031
¥5.71M–¥7.06M
¥6.89M
In 10 yrs 2036
¥5.93M–¥8.00M
What drives the annual growth rate
Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand -0.21%Wage momentum +1.08%AI impact -0.99%Total +1.7% / yr
Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →
Outlook score for 気象予報士
46/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #365 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
17 pts
Entry barrier
75 pts
Pay level
71 pts
Labor demand
28 pts
Wage momentum
93 pts
Aging workforce
29 pts
Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.
Labor demand for 気象予報士
Openings-to-applicants ratio
0.77x
ranked #375 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
Average
43/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥257,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
41.7
Hours per month
158
Openings in 5 years
−0.8%
est.
Openings in 10 years
−1.4%
est.
A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.