気象予報士 気象予報士

Japan 分類:03_020-99 Confidence ★★★☆☆

Average annual pay
¥5.83M
≈ $37,094
Top pay (est.)
¥10.11M
Top 10% ¥8.68M
Pay in 5 years
¥6.34Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥6.89Mest.
¥5.93M–¥8.00M
Outlook score
46/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
83%
Very high
Labor demand
Average
Openings-to-applicants 0.77x

What 気象予報士 do

An English description is being prepared. Japanese description:

様々な気象観測データや数値予報資料を元に総合的に解析し、気象予報を行う。
 近年、天気予報は毎日の生活だけではなく、農林水産業や交通機関、流通・販売業やイベント業種など様々な産業分野において重要な情報となっている。
 気象庁では警報・注意報や台風情報などの甚大な被害が予想される防災情報及び全国的な気象予報を行う。
 民間気象会社では地域をしぼったピンポイント予報などなきめ細かい気象予報を行ったり、気象庁の発表する警報・注意報や台風情報等を入手し、顧客にその解説を提供する。また、様々な分野の企業に対して「気象予測」を行うに留まらず、商品や電力の需要予測、交通運行管理の支援などのコンサルティングも実施している。民間気象会社が予報業務を行う際には気象庁の許可が必要であり、その条件として「気象予報士が予報を行う」ことが義務付けられている。
 ウエザーキャスターとして、テレビ・ラジオで天気予報情報や防災情報等を解説、伝達する気象予報士もいる。
 また、地方自治体に向けた防災気象情報の提供・解説も行っており、防災の現場での活躍も期待されている。新たに、防災制度や地方自治体の防災対応、最新の防災気象情報の実践的な活用方法等を習得、活用することも求められており、その研修制度として、気象庁では「気象防災アドバイザー育成研修」を実施している。

気象予報士 salary

The average annual pay for 気象予報士 in Japan is ¥5.83M (≈ $37,094; Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), national). The estimated median is ¥5.42M, the typical range is ¥3.93M–¥10.11M and the top 10% earn about ¥8.68M.

Average pay
¥5.83M
≈ $37,094
Median (est.)
¥5.42M
≈ $34,467
Low end (est.)
¥3.93M
Entry level, early 20s
Top 10% (est.)
¥8.68M
≈ $55,199
Top pay (est.)
¥10.11M
≈ $64,293
Hourly wage
¥2,876
2.4× the national minimum wage (¥1,177)
Advertised monthly wage
¥257,000
vs. last year +¥12,000

How does your pay compare with people your age?

Your numbers are not sent or stored. The distribution is estimated from Japan's national wage statistics, including pay differences by age.

Pay by ageest.

20s
¥4.41M
30s
¥5.28M
40s
¥6.04M
50s
¥6.72M

Estimated from the average pay and average age (41.7) using the age-wage curve of the Basic Survey on Wage Structure.

Pay by experienceest.

Entry level
¥4.33M
1–3 yrs
¥4.83M
3–5 yrs
¥5.33M
5–10 yrs
¥5.98M
10+ yrs
¥6.74M

Pay by employment typeest.

Full-time employee ¥5.83MPart-time ¥2.45MFreelance / self-employed ¥6.12MContract / temp ¥4.55M

The average hourly wage of ¥2,876 is 2.4× Japan's national average minimum wage of ¥1,177 (fiscal 2026). Minimum wage by prefecture →

Japanese pay is shown in yen (¥5.57M = 5.57 million yen ≈ 557万円). Dollar figures use the current rate of 157.25 yen per dollar and are for reference only; purchasing power differs.

Pay over time

YearAverage payEmploymentOpenings ratio
2021¥5.84M——
2022¥5.80M——
2023¥5.51M—0.92x
2024¥5.91M—0.81x
2025¥5.83M—0.77x

How median, percentiles and the pay range are defined →

Projected pay for 気象予報士 (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today ¥5.83M → in 3 years ¥6.13M → in 5 years ¥6.34M → in 10 years ¥6.89M (10-year range ¥5.93M–¥8.00M). The model assumes pay growth of +1.7% per year.

¥5.83M
Now
2026
¥6.13M
In 3 yrs
2029
¥5.66M–¥6.67M
¥6.34M
In 5 yrs
2031
¥5.71M–¥7.06M
¥6.89M
In 10 yrs
2036
¥5.93M–¥8.00M

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand -0.21%Wage momentum +1.08%AI impact -0.99%Total +1.7% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for 気象予報士

46/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #365 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
17 pts
Entry barrier
75 pts
Pay level
71 pts
Labor demand
28 pts
Wage momentum
93 pts
Aging workforce
29 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Will AI replace 気象予報士? AI replacement risk

83%
Very high
Ranked #519 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Labor demand for 気象予報士

Openings-to-applicants ratio
0.77x
ranked #375 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
Average
43/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥257,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
41.7
Hours per month
158
Openings in 5 years
−0.8%
est.
Openings in 10 years
−1.4%
est.

A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.

The same job in the United States

気象予報士
Japan
Atmospheric and Space Scientists
United States
Median / average pay¥5.83M
≈ $37,094
$99,070
Pay in 10 years (est.)¥6.89M$123,600
Outlook score4649
AI replacement risk83% Very high73% High
Workers—10K

Matched by occupation (SOC code). Yen converted at 157.25 JPY/USD for reference; Japanese figures are averages, U.S. figures are medians, and the surveys define occupations differently.

Skills, education and requirements for 気象予報士

Key skills

Speaking
5.3
Writing
5.2
Reading Comprehension
5.1
Active Listening
4.7
Science
4.6
Mathematics
4.6
Active Learning
4.5
Critical Thinking
4.4

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Geography
3.1
Physics
3.1
Mathematics
2.5
Customer and Personal Service
2.0
Communications and Media
2.0
English Language
2.0
Administrative
1.9
Public Safety and Security
1.7

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

Related qualifications listed on job tag (names in Japanese). Some are mandatory, others recommended.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★★★☆ Demanding (from education, training, experience, licenses)

How to become 気象予報士

The typical path in Japan is shown by the education, training and experience of current workers above and in the Japanese guidance below. A detailed English guide for this occupation is being prepared.

Guidance from job tag (Japanese)
気象予報士となるためには、まず、国家試験としての気象予報士試験に合格する必要がある。受験資格の制限はないが、大学や専門学校で気象学を学んだり、気象予報士になるための講座を受講して試験に臨む者が多い。この試験に合格し、気象庁長官に登録申請をすれば気象予報士になることができる。
 気象予報士試験は「今後の技術革新に対処しうるに必要な気象学の基礎知識」、「各種データを適切に処理し、科学的に予測を行う知識及び能力」、「予測制度を提供するに不可欠な防災上の配慮を的確に行うための知識及び能力を認定すること」を目的としている。試験は気象業務支援センターが年2回実施しており、これまでに幅広い年齢層の合計13,225人が合格している(2025年8月時点*)。

*一般財団法人 気象業務支援センター 気象予報士試験結果一覧

Career path and how to earn more as 気象予報士

Career-path guidance is being prepared. Pay by experience is shown in the Pay section.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.