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Correctional Officers and Jailers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $76,400 · outlook score 36/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Protective Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$58,940
25th–75th pct. $48,640–$75,850
Top pay (est.)
$121,200
Top 10% $93,220
Pay in 5 years
$67,100est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$76,400est.
$65,700–$88,700
Outlook score
36/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
24%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−7.4%
28K openings / yr

Projected pay for Correctional Officers and Jailers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $58,940 → in 3 years $63,700 → in 5 years $67,100 → in 10 years $76,400 (10-year range $65,700–$88,700). The model assumes pay growth of +2.6% per year.

$58,940
Now
2026
$63,700
In 3 yrs
2029
$58,800–$69,300
$67,100
In 5 yrs
2031
$60,500–$74,700
$76,400
In 10 yrs
2036
$65,700–$88,700

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.57%AI impact +0.2%Total +2.6% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Correctional Officers and Jailers

36/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #735 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
46 pts
AI resistance
76 pts
Entry barrier
7 pts
Annual openings
25 pts
Projected growth
8 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Correctional Officers and Jailers

Employment
380K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
368K
2025–35
Projected change
−7.4%
ranked #753 for growth
Annual openings
28K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
29/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.