Will AI replace driver/sales workers?AI replacement risk 32% and how the work is changing

United States Transportation Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$38,770
25th–75th pct. $30,200–$49,000
Top pay (est.)
$78,000
Top 10% $59,980
Pay in 5 years
$45,700est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$53,800est.
$46,300–$62,500
Outlook score
58/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
32%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+7.9%
46K openings / yr

Will AI replace Driver/Sales Workers? AI replacement risk

32%
Low
Ranked #275 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Driver/Sales Workers

Key skills

Critical Thinking
3.4
Writing
3.0
Persuasion
3.0
Active Listening
3.0
Service Orientation
3.0
Reading Comprehension
3.0
Coordination
2.9
Social Perceptiveness
2.9

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
3.6
Production and Processing
3.5
Administration and Management
2.8
Transportation
2.7
Food Production
2.6
Computers and Electronics
2.6
Mathematics
2.5
Public Safety and Security
2.4

What the work involves

Handling and Moving ObjectsPerforming General Physical ActivitiesPerforming for or Working Directly with the PublicOperating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentGetting InformationEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesIdentifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionSpeech RecognitionNear VisionFar VisionSpeech Clarity

Education of workers

Training before entry

1–3 months
23%
3–6 months
17%
6–12 months
3%
None / short demo
1%

Related work experience

None
43%
Up to 1 month
26%
1–3 months
20%
1–2 years
5%
2–4 years
3%
6–12 months
2%

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★☆☆☆☆ Easy to enter (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.