Projected pay for Driver/Sales Workers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.
Today $38,770 → in 3 years $42,800 → in 5 years $45,700 → in 10 years $53,800 (10-year range $46,300–$62,500). The model assumes pay growth of +3.3% per year.
$38,770
Now 2026
$42,800
In 3 yrs 2029
$39,500–$46,500
$45,700
In 5 yrs 2031
$41,100–$50,900
$53,800
In 10 yrs 2036
$46,300–$62,500
What drives the annual growth rate
Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.2%AI impact +0.14%Total +3.3% / yr
Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →
Outlook score for Driver/Sales Workers
58/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #284 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
10 pts
AI resistance
68 pts
Entry barrier
13 pts
Annual openings
69 pts
Projected growth
88 pts
Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.
Labor demand for Driver/Sales Workers
Employment
409K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
478K
2025–35
Projected change
+7.9%
ranked #96 for growth
Annual openings
46K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
83/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training
Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.
Drive a light vehicle, such as a truck or van, with a capacity of less than 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW), primarily to pick up merchandise or packages from a distribution center and deliver.
Park vehicles or issue tickets for customers in a parking lot or garage.
$35,150
40/100
42%
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.