Shigoto Zukan
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Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $139,900 · outlook score 50/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Management & Consulting Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$105,870
25th–75th pct. $86,040–$134,630
Top pay (est.)
$218,100
Top 10% $167,770
Pay in 5 years
$121,700est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$139,900est.
$120,400–$162,500
Outlook score
50/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
44%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
−0.3%
21K openings / yr

Projected pay for Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $105,870 → in 3 years $115,100 → in 5 years $121,700 → in 10 years $139,900 (10-year range $120,400–$162,500). The model assumes pay growth of +2.8% per year.

$105,870
Now
2026
$115,100
In 3 yrs
2029
$106,300–$125,300
$121,700
In 5 yrs
2031
$109,700–$135,600
$139,900
In 10 yrs
2036
$120,400–$162,500

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.21%AI impact +0.04%Total +2.8% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary

50/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #488 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
87 pts
AI resistance
56 pts
Entry barrier
92 pts
Annual openings
12 pts
Projected growth
26 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary

Employment
328K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
343K
2025–35
Projected change
−0.3%
ranked #599 for growth
Annual openings
21K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
34/100
Typical entry education
Master's degree
Work experience
5 years or more
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.