Shigoto Zukan
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Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $77,200 · outlook score 37/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Management & Consulting Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$59,300
25th–75th pct. $47,040–$75,500
Top pay (est.)
$127,700
Top 10% $98,240
Pay in 5 years
$67,600est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$77,200est.
$66,400–$89,600
Outlook score
37/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
47%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
−3.1%
5,200 openings / yr

Projected pay for Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $59,300 → in 3 years $64,200 → in 5 years $67,600 → in 10 years $77,200 (10-year range $66,400–$89,600). The model assumes pay growth of +2.7% per year.

$59,300
Now
2026
$64,200
In 3 yrs
2029
$59,300–$69,800
$67,600
In 5 yrs
2031
$60,900–$75,300
$77,200
In 10 yrs
2036
$66,400–$89,600

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.35%AI impact +0.02%Total +2.7% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare

37/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #719 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
47 pts
AI resistance
53 pts
Entry barrier
59 pts
Annual openings
21 pts
Projected growth
18 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare

Employment
74K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
89K
2025–35
Projected change
−3.1%
ranked #672 for growth
Annual openings
5,200
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
27/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.