Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $118,100 · outlook score 63/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Agriculture Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$89,900
25th–75th pct. $66,300–$118,860
Top pay (est.)
$208,000
Top 10% $160,020
Pay in 5 years
$103,000est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$118,100est.
$101,600–$137,100
Outlook score
63/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
32%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−3.4%
71K openings / yr

Projected pay for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $89,900 → in 3 years $97,600 → in 5 years $103,000 → in 10 years $118,100 (10-year range $101,600–$137,100). The model assumes pay growth of +2.8% per year.

$89,900
Now
2026
$97,600
In 3 yrs
2029
$90,100–$106,200
$103,000
In 5 yrs
2031
$92,800–$114,800
$118,100
In 10 yrs
2036
$101,600–$137,100

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.37%AI impact +0.14%Total +2.8% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers

63/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #172 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
78 pts
AI resistance
68 pts
Entry barrier
94 pts
Annual openings
100 pts
Projected growth
16 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers

Employment
6,500
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
762K
2025–35
Projected change
−3.4%
ranked #684 for growth
Annual openings
71K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
40/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
5 years or more
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.