Shigoto Zukan
日本語

Will AI replace first-line supervisors of police and detectives?AI replacement risk 15% and how the work is changing

United States Protective Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$106,040
25th–75th pct. $81,860–$132,620
Top pay (est.)
$214,600
Top 10% $165,110
Pay in 5 years
$124,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$145,700est.
$125,300–$169,100
Outlook score
61/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
15%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.3%
11K openings / yr

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives? AI replacement risk

15%
Very low
Ranked #69 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives

Key skills

Persuasion
4.0
Writing
4.0
Management of Personnel Resources
4.0
Coordination
4.0
Complex Problem Solving
4.0
Active Listening
4.0
Social Perceptiveness
4.0
Reading Comprehension
4.0

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
6.2
Public Safety and Security
5.6
Law and Government
5.0
Psychology
4.5
Education and Training
4.4
English Language
4.4
Administration and Management
4.0
Therapy and Counseling
3.9

What the work involves

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsAssisting and Caring for OthersMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsGuiding, Directing, and Motivating SubordinatesResolving Conflicts and Negotiating with OthersCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgePerforming for or Working Directly with the Public

Important abilities

Deductive ReasoningProblem SensitivityOral ExpressionOral ComprehensionWritten ExpressionInductive Reasoning

Education of workers

High school diploma
56%
Some college
20%
Bachelor's degree
19%
Associate's degree
4%

Training before entry

3–6 months
37%
6–12 months
21%
Up to 1 month
15%
1–2 years
7%
1–3 months
7%
None / short demo
6%
4–10 years
6%
2–4 years
2%

Related work experience

None
72%
2–4 years
9%
6–8 years
9%
Over 10 years
6%
4–6 years
4%

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.