Will AI replace first-line supervisors of security workers?AI replacement risk 40% and how the work is changing

United States Protective Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$55,940
25th–75th pct. $45,030–$71,950
Top pay (est.)
$119,900
Top 10% $92,260
Pay in 5 years
$65,000est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$75,600est.
$65,000–$87,800
Outlook score
50/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
40%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.7%
6,800 openings / yr

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers? AI replacement risk

40%
Low
Ranked #375 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers

Key skills

Reading Comprehension
4.0
Speaking
3.9
Monitoring
3.9
Coordination
3.9
Critical Thinking
3.9
Writing
3.8
Management of Personnel Resources
3.8
Active Listening
3.8

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
6.1
Administrative
5.7
Public Safety and Security
5.5
Education and Training
5.2
Psychology
5.1
Administration and Management
4.6
Computers and Electronics
4.5
English Language
4.2

What the work involves

Identifying Objects, Actions, and EventsMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsGuiding, Directing, and Motivating SubordinatesCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkResolving Conflicts and Negotiating with OthersCoaching and Developing Others

Important abilities

Far VisionOral ExpressionSpeech RecognitionInductive ReasoningProblem SensitivityNear Vision

Education of workers

Associate's degree
30%
High school diploma
28%
Some college
26%
Bachelor's degree
11%
Post-secondary certificate
5%

Training before entry

Up to 1 month
42%
6–12 months
30%
1–2 years
10%
1–3 months
9%
3–6 months
6%
2–4 years
2%

Related work experience

2–4 years
34%
None
33%
1–2 years
17%
Up to 1 month
7%
6–12 months
6%
Over 10 years
3%

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.