Projected pay for Human Resources Managers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.
Today $149,280 → in 3 years $162,100 → in 5 years $171,200 → in 10 years $196,300 (10-year range $168,800–$227,900). The model assumes pay growth of +2.8% per year.
$149,280
Now 2026
$162,100
In 3 yrs 2029
$149,600–$176,300
$171,200
In 5 yrs 2031
$154,200–$190,700
$196,300
In 10 yrs 2036
$168,800–$227,900
What drives the annual growth rate
Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.07%AI impact -0.3%Total +2.8% / yr
Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →
Outlook score for Human Resources Managers
62/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #188 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
96 pts
AI resistance
40 pts
Entry barrier
87 pts
Annual openings
26 pts
Projected growth
75 pts
Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.
Labor demand for Human Resources Managers
Employment
221K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
237K
2025–35
Projected change
+5.5%
ranked #197 for growth
Annual openings
17K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
62/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
5 years or more
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None
Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.
Conduct organizational studies and evaluations, design systems and procedures, conduct work simplification and measurement studies, and prepare operations and procedures manuals to assist management in operating more efficiently and effectively.
Plan, direct, or coordinate accounting, investing, banking, insurance, securities, and other financial activities of a branch, office, or department of an establishment.
$166,570
65/100
65%
Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.