Will AI replace industrial truck and tractor operators?AI replacement risk 30% and how the work is changing

United States Logistics Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$46,420
25th–75th pct. $40,030–$54,770
Top pay (est.)
$81,300
Top 10% $62,520
Pay in 5 years
$53,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$62,500est.
$53,800–$72,600
Outlook score
43/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
30%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+1.5%
65K openings / yr

Will AI replace Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators? AI replacement risk

30%
Low
Ranked #254 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

Key skills

Coordination
3.0
Operation and Control
3.0
Operations Monitoring
2.9
Monitoring
2.6
Equipment Maintenance
2.6
Active Listening
2.5
Troubleshooting
2.5
Reading Comprehension
2.5

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Production and Processing
3.3
Mathematics
2.7
English Language
2.6
Customer and Personal Service
2.4
Education and Training
2.3
Mechanical
2.0
Transportation
2.0
Public Safety and Security
1.7

What the work involves

Handling and Moving ObjectsPerforming General Physical ActivitiesOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkOperating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsCoaching and Developing OthersMaking Decisions and Solving Problems

Important abilities

Control PrecisionMultilimb CoordinationDepth PerceptionStatic StrengthReaction TimeFar Vision

Education of workers

Some college
4%

Training before entry

3–6 months
46%
6–12 months
24%
1–3 months
19%
Up to 1 month
6%
1–2 years
4%

Related work experience

2–4 years
44%
None
24%
6–12 months
16%
3–6 months
11%
1–2 years
4%
Up to 1 month
2%

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.