Shigoto Zukan
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Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $46,900 · outlook score 64/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Protective Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$33,580
25th–75th pct. $28,880–$37,520
Top pay (est.)
$57,200
Top 10% $43,970
Pay in 5 years
$39,700est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$46,900est.
$40,300–$54,400
Outlook score
64/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
8%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+5.5%
45K openings / yr

Projected pay for Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $33,580 → in 3 years $37,100 → in 5 years $39,700 → in 10 years $46,900 (10-year range $40,300–$54,400). The model assumes pay growth of +3.4% per year.

$33,580
Now
2026
$37,100
In 3 yrs
2029
$34,300–$40,400
$39,700
In 5 yrs
2031
$35,700–$44,200
$46,900
In 10 yrs
2036
$40,300–$54,400

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.07%AI impact +0.32%Total +3.4% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers

64/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #154 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
1 pts
AI resistance
92 pts
Entry barrier
8 pts
Annual openings
97 pts
Projected growth
75 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers

Employment
158K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
171K
2025–35
Projected change
+5.5%
ranked #197 for growth
Annual openings
45K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
82/100
Typical entry education
No formal educational credential
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.