Shigoto Zukan
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Massage Therapists job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $82,400 · outlook score 76/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Caregiving Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$58,450
25th–75th pct. $43,480–$78,320
Top pay (est.)
$130,300
Top 10% $100,200
Pay in 5 years
$69,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$82,400est.
$70,900–$95,700
Outlook score
76/100
★★★★☆ Good
AI replacement risk
18%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+15.3%
20K openings / yr

Projected pay for Massage Therapists (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $58,450 → in 3 years $64,800 → in 5 years $69,400 → in 10 years $82,400 (10-year range $70,900–$95,700). The model assumes pay growth of +3.5% per year.

$58,450
Now
2026
$64,800
In 3 yrs
2029
$59,800–$70,500
$69,400
In 5 yrs
2031
$62,500–$77,300
$82,400
In 10 yrs
2036
$70,900–$95,700

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.57%AI impact +0.24%Total +3.5% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Massage Therapists

76/100
★★★★☆
Good · ranked #16 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
45 pts
AI resistance
82 pts
Entry barrier
29 pts
Annual openings
93 pts
Projected growth
97 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Massage Therapists

Employment
99K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
179K
2025–35
Projected change
+15.3%
ranked #24 for growth
Annual openings
20K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
90/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.