Shigoto Zukan
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Medical and Health Services Managers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $174,700 · outlook score 73/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Management & Consulting Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$123,860
25th–75th pct. $94,700–$166,100
Top pay (est.)
$291,600
Top 10% $224,340
Pay in 5 years
$147,100est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$174,700est.
$150,300–$202,800
Outlook score
73/100
★★★★☆ Good
AI replacement risk
65%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
+24.2%
62K openings / yr

Projected pay for Medical and Health Services Managers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $123,860 → in 3 years $137,300 → in 5 years $147,100 → in 10 years $174,700 (10-year range $150,300–$202,800). The model assumes pay growth of +3.5% per year.

$123,860
Now
2026
$137,300
In 3 yrs
2029
$126,800–$149,400
$147,100
In 5 yrs
2031
$132,500–$163,900
$174,700
In 10 yrs
2036
$150,300–$202,800

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +1.0%AI impact -0.45%Total +3.5% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Medical and Health Services Managers

73/100
★★★★☆
Good · ranked #30 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
91 pts
AI resistance
35 pts
Entry barrier
89 pts
Annual openings
64 pts
Projected growth
100 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Medical and Health Services Managers

Employment
597K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
796K
2025–35
Projected change
+24.2%
ranked #5 for growth
Annual openings
62K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
88/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.