Physical Therapist Assistants job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $96,500 · outlook score 81/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Caregiving Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$68,380
25th–75th pct. $59,820–$78,680
Top pay (est.)
$116,400
Top 10% $89,510
Pay in 5 years
$81,200est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$96,500est.
$83,000–$112,000
Outlook score
81/100
★★★★☆ Excellent
AI replacement risk
15%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+23.0%
18K openings / yr

Projected pay for Physical Therapist Assistants (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $68,380 → in 3 years $75,800 → in 5 years $81,200 → in 10 years $96,500 (10-year range $83,000–$112,000). The model assumes pay growth of +3.5% per year.

$68,380
Now
2026
$75,800
In 3 yrs
2029
$70,000–$82,500
$81,200
In 5 yrs
2031
$73,200–$90,500
$96,500
In 10 yrs
2036
$83,000–$112,000

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.95%AI impact +0.26%Total +3.5% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Physical Therapist Assistants

81/100
★★★★☆
Excellent · ranked #4 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
60 pts
AI resistance
85 pts
Entry barrier
41 pts
Annual openings
89 pts
Projected growth
99 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Physical Therapist Assistants

Employment
112K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
140K
2025–35
Projected change
+23.0%
ranked #6 for growth
Annual openings
18K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
90/100
Typical entry education
Associate's degree
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.