Shigoto Zukan
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School Bus Monitors job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $46,600 · outlook score 42/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Protective Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$35,100
25th–75th pct. $31,760–$37,760
Top pay (est.)
$56,200
Top 10% $43,250
Pay in 5 years
$40,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$46,600est.
$40,100–$54,100
Outlook score
42/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
27%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−1.9%
13K openings / yr

Projected pay for School Bus Monitors (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $35,100 → in 3 years $38,200 → in 5 years $40,400 → in 10 years $46,600 (10-year range $40,100–$54,100). The model assumes pay growth of +2.9% per year.

$35,100
Now
2026
$38,200
In 3 yrs
2029
$35,300–$41,600
$40,400
In 5 yrs
2031
$36,400–$45,100
$46,600
In 10 yrs
2036
$40,100–$54,100

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.3%AI impact +0.17%Total +2.9% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for School Bus Monitors

42/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #636 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
2 pts
AI resistance
73 pts
Entry barrier
2 pts
Annual openings
90 pts
Projected growth
21 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for School Bus Monitors

Employment
78K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
75K
2025–35
Projected change
−1.9%
ranked #644 for growth
Annual openings
13K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
50/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.