Shigoto Zukan
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Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $56,800 · outlook score 25/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Logistics Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$45,260
25th–75th pct. $38,200–$51,570
Top pay (est.)
$80,800
Top 10% $62,190
Pay in 5 years
$50,700est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$56,800est.
$48,900–$66,000
Outlook score
25/100
★☆☆☆☆ Weak
AI replacement risk
54%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
−7.6%
61K openings / yr

Projected pay for Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $45,260 → in 3 years $48,500 → in 5 years $50,700 → in 10 years $56,800 (10-year range $48,900–$66,000). The model assumes pay growth of +2.3% per year.

$45,260
Now
2026
$48,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$44,700–$52,700
$50,700
In 5 yrs
2031
$45,700–$56,500
$56,800
In 10 yrs
2036
$48,900–$66,000

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.58%AI impact -0.12%Total +2.3% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks

25/100
★☆☆☆☆
Weak · ranked #822 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
20 pts
AI resistance
46 pts
Entry barrier
21 pts
Annual openings
25 pts
Projected growth
8 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks

Employment
817K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
765K
2025–35
Projected change
−7.6%
ranked #755 for growth
Annual openings
61K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
30/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.