Will AI replace training and development managers?AI replacement risk 63% and how the work is changing

United States Management & Consulting Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay

$133,000

25th–75th pct. $101,850–$176,870

Top pay (est.)

$303,700

Top 10% $233,600

Pay in 5 years

$152,200est.

2031

Pay in 10 years

$174,100est.

$149,700–$202,100

Outlook score

66/100

★★★☆☆ Good

AI replacement risk

63%

High

Job growth (10 yr)

+6.4%

4,100 openings / yr

Will AI replace Training and Development Managers? AI replacement risk

63%

High

Ranked #678 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Training and Development Managers

Key skills

Learning Strategies

5.2

Instructing

4.8

Speaking

4.5

Active Learning

4.2

Writing

4.1

Reading Comprehension

4.0

Complex Problem Solving

4.0

Management of Personnel Resources

4.0

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Education and Training

6.8

English Language

5.4

Personnel and Human Resources

5.2

Customer and Personal Service

4.6

Administration and Management

4.5

Administrative

3.8

Computers and Electronics

3.8

Communications and Media

3.6

What the work involves

Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesTraining and Teaching OthersOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsProviding Consultation and Advice to OthersGuiding, Directing, and Motivating SubordinatesCoaching and Developing OthersUpdating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Important abilities

Speech ClarityOral ExpressionWritten ExpressionOral ComprehensionFluency of IdeasProblem Sensitivity

Education of workers

Bachelor's degree

71%

Master's degree

21%

Post-bachelor's certificate

Training before entry

Up to 1 month

32%

3–6 months

18%

None / short demo

14%

1–3 months

11%

1–2 years

6–12 months

4–10 years

2–4 years

Related work experience

4–6 years

50%

6–8 years

21%

8–10 years

14%

2–4 years

11%

1–2 years

Job Zone 4 — considerable preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★★☆ Demanding (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Related occupations

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4	Human Resources Specialists Recruit, screen, interview, or place individuals within an organization.	$75,940	59/100	61%
5	Management Analysts Conduct organizational studies and evaluations, design systems and procedures, conduct work simplification and measurement studies, and prepare operations and procedures manuals to assist management in operating more efficiently and effectively.	$101,860	69/100	66%
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Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data

Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.