Shigoto Zukan
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Training and Development Managers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $174,100 · outlook score 66/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Management & Consulting Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$133,000
25th–75th pct. $101,850–$176,870
Top pay (est.)
$303,700
Top 10% $233,600
Pay in 5 years
$152,200est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$174,100est.
$149,700–$202,100
Outlook score
66/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
63%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
+6.4%
4,100 openings / yr

Projected pay for Training and Development Managers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $133,000 → in 3 years $144,200 → in 5 years $152,200 → in 10 years $174,100 (10-year range $149,700–$202,100). The model assumes pay growth of +2.7% per year.

$133,000
Now
2026
$144,200
In 3 yrs
2029
$133,100–$156,900
$152,200
In 5 yrs
2031
$137,100–$169,500
$174,100
In 10 yrs
2036
$149,700–$202,100

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.12%AI impact -0.39%Total +2.7% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Training and Development Managers

66/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #114 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
93 pts
AI resistance
37 pts
Entry barrier
90 pts
Annual openings
42 pts
Projected growth
83 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Training and Development Managers

Employment
48K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
54K
2025–35
Projected change
+6.4%
ranked #139 for growth
Annual openings
4,100
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
64/100
Typical entry education
Bachelor's degree
Work experience
5 years or more
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.