非鉄金属製錬技術者 job outlookprojected pay in 10 years ¥7.31M · outlook score 46/100 · labor demand

Japan Office & Admin Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥6.07M
≈ $38,597
Top pay (est.)
¥10.60M
Top 10% ¥9.09M
Pay in 5 years
¥6.66Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥7.31Mest.
¥6.28M–¥8.48M
Outlook score
46/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
60%
Moderate
Labor demand
Low
Openings-to-applicants 0.75x

Projected pay for 非鉄金属製錬技術者 (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today ¥6.07M → in 3 years ¥6.42M → in 5 years ¥6.66M → in 10 years ¥7.31M (10-year range ¥6.28M–¥8.48M). The model assumes pay growth of +1.9% per year.

¥6.07M
Now
2026
¥6.42M
In 3 yrs
2029
¥5.92M–¥6.98M
¥6.66M
In 5 yrs
2031
¥6.00M–¥7.42M
¥7.31M
In 10 yrs
2036
¥6.28M–¥8.48M

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand -0.22%Wage momentum +0.6%AI impact -0.3%Total +1.9% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for 非鉄金属製錬技術者

46/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #365 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
40 pts
Entry barrier
36 pts
Pay level
76 pts
Labor demand
23 pts
Wage momentum
61 pts
Aging workforce
63 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for 非鉄金属製錬技術者

Openings-to-applicants ratio
0.75x
ranked #415 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
Low
32/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥295,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
43.8
Hours per month
164
Openings in 5 years
+2.4%
est.
Openings in 10 years
+4.3%
est.

A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.