Shigoto Zukan
日本語

Will AI replace first-line supervisors of correctional officers?AI replacement risk 29% and how the work is changing

United States Protective Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$77,970
25th–75th pct. $59,890–$103,320
Top pay (est.)
$166,100
Top 10% $127,780
Pay in 5 years
$89,700est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$103,100est.
$88,700–$119,700
Outlook score
46/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
29%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−2.5%
3,700 openings / yr

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers? AI replacement risk

29%
Low
Ranked #240 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers

Key skills

Monitoring
4.2
Social Perceptiveness
4.0
Coordination
4.0
Active Listening
4.0
Speaking
4.0
Management of Personnel Resources
4.0
Reading Comprehension
4.0
Critical Thinking
4.0

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Public Safety and Security
5.4
Psychology
5.0
Education and Training
4.7
Law and Government
4.2
Computers and Electronics
4.2
Administrative
4.1
English Language
4.0
Personnel and Human Resources
4.0

What the work involves

Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with OthersGuiding, Directing, and Motivating SubordinatesCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesCoaching and Developing OthersEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsDocumenting/Recording InformationEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with StandardsAssisting and Caring for Others

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionWritten ExpressionDeductive ReasoningProblem SensitivityStatic Strength

Education of workers

High school diploma
59%
Associate's degree
23%
Bachelor's degree
11%
Post-secondary certificate
5%
Some college
2%

Training before entry

1–3 months
35%
3–6 months
19%
Up to 1 month
19%
2–4 years
12%
None / short demo
5%
6–12 months
5%
1–2 years
4%
4–10 years
1%

Related work experience

2–4 years
39%
None
30%
4–6 years
13%
Over 10 years
5%
8–10 years
5%
3–6 months
5%
Up to 1 month
2%

Job Zone 3 — medium preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.