Shigoto Zukan
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Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers?AI replacement risk 10% and how the work is changing

United States Protective Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$93,530
25th–75th pct. $72,140–$119,500
Top pay (est.)
$182,000
Top 10% $140,010
Pay in 5 years
$109,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$129,200est.
$111,100–$150,000
Outlook score
67/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
10%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.7%
6,600 openings / yr

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers? AI replacement risk

10%
Very low
Ranked #33 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers

Key skills

Critical Thinking
4.0
Active Listening
4.0
Speaking
3.9
Coordination
3.9
Time Management
3.8
Reading Comprehension
3.8
Social Perceptiveness
3.8
Management of Personnel Resources
3.8

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Customer and Personal Service
6.8
Education and Training
5.4
Personnel and Human Resources
4.5
Psychology
4.4
Computers and Electronics
4.3
Administration and Management
4.3
Building and Construction
4.1
Mechanical
3.9

What the work involves

Making Decisions and Solving ProblemsAssisting and Caring for OthersUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsCommunicating with People Outside the OrganizationPerforming General Physical ActivitiesTraining and Teaching OthersEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships

Important abilities

Problem SensitivityNear VisionOral ExpressionOral ComprehensionDeductive ReasoningInductive Reasoning

Training before entry

1–2 years
33%
4–10 years
19%
2–4 years
12%
6–12 months
9%
Up to 1 month
3%
Over 10 years
3%
1–3 months
2%

Related work experience

1–2 years
19%
4–6 years
18%
2–4 years
14%
Over 10 years
4%
1–3 months
3%

Job Zone 3 — medium preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★★★☆ Demanding (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.