Shigoto Zukan
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First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $129,200 · outlook score 67/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Protective Services Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$93,530
25th–75th pct. $72,140–$119,500
Top pay (est.)
$182,000
Top 10% $140,010
Pay in 5 years
$109,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$129,200est.
$111,100–$150,000
Outlook score
67/100
★★★☆☆ Good
AI replacement risk
10%
Very low
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.7%
6,600 openings / yr

Projected pay for First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $93,530 → in 3 years $103,100 → in 5 years $109,900 → in 10 years $129,200 (10-year range $111,100–$150,000). The model assumes pay growth of +3.3% per year.

$93,530
Now
2026
$103,100
In 3 yrs
2029
$95,200–$112,100
$109,900
In 5 yrs
2031
$99,100–$122,500
$129,200
In 10 yrs
2036
$111,100–$150,000

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.01%AI impact +0.3%Total +3.3% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers

67/100
★★★☆☆
Good · ranked #97 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
79 pts
AI resistance
90 pts
Entry barrier
88 pts
Annual openings
16 pts
Projected growth
59 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers

Employment
99K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
105K
2025–35
Projected change
+3.7%
ranked #328 for growth
Annual openings
6,600
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
48/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.