Will AI replace 鍛造工/鍛造設備オペレーター?AI replacement risk 53% and how the work is changing

Japan Office & Admin Confidence ★★★★☆

Average annual pay
¥5.07M
≈ $32,273
Top pay (est.)
¥8.58M
Top 10% ¥7.41M
Pay in 5 years
¥5.70Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥6.39Mest.
¥5.50M–¥7.42M
Outlook score
52/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
53%
Moderate
Labor demand
High
Openings-to-applicants 1.98x

Will AI replace 鍛造工/鍛造設備オペレーター? AI replacement risk

53%
Moderate
Ranked #319 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for 鍛造工/鍛造設備オペレーター

Key skills

Instructing
3.2
Repairing
3.0
Reading Comprehension
2.9
Quality Control Analysis
2.9
Speaking
2.7
Active Listening
2.7
Operation and Control
2.6
Troubleshooting
2.6

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Production and Processing
3.5
Mechanical
3.0
Engineering and Technology
2.0
Mathematics
1.8
Design
1.8
Physics
1.6
Administrative
1.5
Administration and Management
1.5

What the work involves

Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or MaterialsCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsRepairing and Maintaining Mechanical EquipmentHandling and Moving ObjectsUpdating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

Related qualifications listed on job tag (names in Japanese). Some are mandatory, others recommended.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★★☆☆ Moderate (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.