NC工作機械オペレーター job outlookprojected pay in 10 years ¥5.88M · outlook score 46/100 · labor demand

Japan Office & Admin Confidence ★★★★★

Average annual pay
¥4.84M
≈ $30,771
Top pay (est.)
¥8.12M
Top 10% ¥7.02M
Pay in 5 years
¥5.34Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥5.88Mest.
¥5.06M–¥6.83M
Outlook score
46/100
★★☆☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
65%
High
Labor demand
High
Openings-to-applicants 1.98x

Projected pay for NC工作機械オペレーター (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today ¥4.84M → in 3 years ¥5.13M → in 5 years ¥5.34M → in 10 years ¥5.88M (10-year range ¥5.06M–¥6.83M). The model assumes pay growth of +2.0% per year.

¥4.84M
Now
2026
¥5.13M
In 3 yrs
2029
¥4.74M–¥5.58M
¥5.34M
In 5 yrs
2031
¥4.81M–¥5.94M
¥5.88M
In 10 yrs
2036
¥5.06M–¥6.83M

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +1.8%Labor demand +0.39%Wage momentum +0.23%AI impact -0.45%Total +2.0% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (the job-openings-to-applicants ratio), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for NC工作機械オペレーター

46/100
★★☆☆☆
Average · ranked #365 of all Japanese occupations
AI resistance
35 pts
Entry barrier
54 pts
Pay level
44 pts
Labor demand
73 pts
Wage momentum
19 pts
Aging workforce
45 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for NC工作機械オペレーター

Openings-to-applicants ratio
1.98x
ranked #144 of all Japanese jobs
Demand score
High
61/100
Advertised monthly wage
¥249,000
Hello Work postings
Workers
—
Population Census
Average age
42.8
Hours per month
166
Openings in 5 years
+5.7%
est.
Openings in 10 years
+10.3%
est.

A ratio above 1.0 means there are more job openings than applicants (a labor shortage). The 5- and 10-year figures are estimates from the openings ratio, wage momentum and AI replacement risk.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.