Will AI replace クレーン運転士?AI replacement risk 43% and how the work is changing

Japan Office & Admin Confidence ★★★★☆

Average annual pay
¥5.87M
≈ $37,309
Top pay (est.)
¥10.18M
Top 10% ¥8.74M
Pay in 5 years
¥6.70Mest.
2031
Pay in 10 years
¥7.64Mest.
¥6.57M–¥8.87M
Outlook score
59/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
43%
Moderate
Labor demand
Average
Openings-to-applicants 1.80x

Will AI replace クレーン運転士? AI replacement risk

43%
Moderate
Ranked #245 safest from AI among all Japanese occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using the MHLW job tag survey on work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for クレーン運転士

Key skills

Operation and Control
4.0
Equipment Maintenance
4.0
Troubleshooting
3.9
Instructing
3.7
Equipment Selection
3.6
Repairing
3.6
Active Listening
3.6
Coordination
3.4

Skill levels from the MHLW job tag worker survey.

Key knowledge areas

Mechanical
2.1
Transportation
1.9
Education and Training
1.6
Building and Construction
1.6
Physics
1.6
Public Safety and Security
1.4
Administrative
1.4
Personnel and Human Resources
1.4

What the work involves

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or EquipmentEvaluating Information to Determine Compliance with StandardsRepairing and Maintaining Mechanical EquipmentInspecting Equipment, Structures, or MaterialsOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkControlling Machines and ProcessesEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsGuiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Important abilities

Depth PerceptionReaction TimeFar VisionProblem SensitivityHearing SensitivitySpeed of Limb Movement

Licenses and certifications (Japan)

Related qualifications listed on job tag (names in Japanese). Some are mandatory, others recommended.

Education of workers

Training before entry

Related work experience

Difficulty of entry: ★★★☆☆ Moderate (from education, training, experience, licenses)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: Basic Survey on Wage Structure (2025), Population Census and Hello Work employment statistics as published on the MHLW job tag site (retrieved Nov 1, 2026); Occupational Information Database (JILPT). Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.