Will AI replace cabinetmakers and bench carpenters?AI replacement risk 27% and how the work is changing

United States Manufacturing & Repair Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$46,680
25th–75th pct. $38,830–$55,760
Top pay (est.)
$82,800
Top 10% $63,720
Pay in 5 years
$53,700est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$61,700est.
$53,100–$71,600
Outlook score
41/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
27%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−2.9%
6,900 openings / yr

Will AI replace Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters? AI replacement risk

27%
Low
Ranked #217 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters

Key skills

Quality Control Analysis
3.5
Operations Monitoring
3.1
Judgment and Decision Making
3.0
Monitoring
3.0
Critical Thinking
3.0
Time Management
3.0
Operation and Control
2.9
Complex Problem Solving
2.9

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Design
3.1
Building and Construction
3.1
Mathematics
3.1
Production and Processing
2.8
Mechanical
2.6
Administration and Management
2.6
Engineering and Technology
2.3
Education and Training
2.2

What the work involves

Handling and Moving ObjectsControlling Machines and ProcessesCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesPerforming General Physical ActivitiesEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsMaking Decisions and Solving ProblemsUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeMonitoring Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Important abilities

Near VisionFinger DexterityManual DexterityArm-Hand SteadinessVisualizationControl Precision

Training before entry

None / short demo
28%
Up to 1 month
16%
3–6 months
15%
Over 10 years
7%

Related work experience

1–3 months
26%
None
22%
6–12 months
20%
1–2 years
16%
3–6 months
9%
Over 10 years
7%

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.