First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

United States SOC 51-1011.00 Manufacturing & Repair Confidence ★★★★★

Also called: Abattoir Supervisor, Abrasive and Polished Products Supervisor, Acid Supervisor, Aerosol Supervisor, Aging Department Supervisor, Agricultural Chemicals Shift Superintendent, Alteration Workroom Supervisor, Alum Plant Supervisor

Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators.

Median annual pay
$74,450
25th–75th pct. $58,630–$91,680
Top pay (est.)
$141,400
Top 10% $108,750
Pay in 5 years
$85,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$99,200est.
$85,300–$115,200
Outlook score
50/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
47%
Moderate
Job growth (10 yr)
+1.8%
61K openings / yr

What first-line supervisors of production and operating workers do

Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.

Typical tasks

Typical path into the job (BLS)

Education High school diploma or equivalentRelated experience Less than 5 yearsOn-the-job training NoneO*NET Job Zone 3

First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers salary

The median annual wage for first-line supervisors of production and operating workers is $74,450 (BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35, national). The lowest 10 percent earn less than $47,130 and the highest 10 percent earn more than $108,750. The mean annual wage is $76,600.

Median
$74,450
Mean
$76,600
10th percentile
$47,130
Entry level
25th percentile
$58,630
75th percentile
$91,680
90th percentile
$108,750
Top earners
Mean hourly wage
$36.00
5.0× the federal minimum ($7.25)
In Japanese yen
¥11.71M
≈ at 157.25 JPY/USD

The mean hourly wage of $36.00 is 5.0× the federal minimum wage of $7.25. State minimums are higher in most large states. Minimum wage by state →

How does your pay compare with people your age?

Your numbers are not sent or stored. The comparison uses this occupation's BLS wage percentiles, adjusted for age with BLS median weekly earnings by age group (Q3 2026).

Pay by percentile

Entry level (10th pct.)
$47,130
Early career (25th pct.)
$58,630
Mid career (median)
$74,450
Experienced (75th pct.)
$91,680
Top earners (90th pct.)
$108,750

Annual wage percentiles from the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS). Percentiles are a good proxy for pay by experience.

How median, percentiles and the pay range are defined →

Projected pay for First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $74,450 → in 3 years $81,100 → in 5 years $85,900 → in 10 years $99,200 (10-year range $85,300–$115,200). The model assumes pay growth of +2.9% per year.

$74,450
Now
2026
$81,100
In 3 yrs
2029
$74,900–$88,300
$85,900
In 5 yrs
2031
$77,400–$95,700
$99,200
In 10 yrs
2036
$85,300–$115,200

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.11%AI impact +0.02%Total +2.9% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

50/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #488 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
65 pts
AI resistance
53 pts
Entry barrier
49 pts
Annual openings
51 pts
Projected growth
39 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers? AI replacement risk

47%
Moderate
Ranked #478 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Labor demand for First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

Employment
673K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
692K
2025–35
Projected change
+1.8%
ranked #494 for growth
Annual openings
61K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
54/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Skills, education and requirements for First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

Key skills

Active Listening
4.0
Social Perceptiveness
3.9
Monitoring
3.9
Coordination
3.9
Time Management
3.9
Reading Comprehension
3.8
Speaking
3.8
Management of Personnel Resources
3.8

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Production and Processing
4.6
Administration and Management
4.1
Personnel and Human Resources
4.0
Education and Training
3.9
Computers and Electronics
3.8
Engineering and Technology
3.8
Mathematics
3.7
English Language
3.5

What the work involves

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating SubordinatesCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkResolving Conflicts and Negotiating with OthersEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsHandling and Moving ObjectsControlling Machines and ProcessesMonitoring Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionProblem SensitivityWritten ExpressionDeductive ReasoningOriginality

Education of workers

High school diploma
33%
Some college
15%
Less than high school
14%
Associate's degree
14%
Bachelor's degree
12%
Post-secondary certificate
12%

Training before entry

3–6 months
26%
1–3 months
25%
1–2 years
15%
None / short demo
15%
Up to 1 month
14%
6–12 months
5%

Related work experience

1–2 years
29%
2–4 years
23%
3–6 months
12%
Over 10 years
10%
None
7%
1–3 months
7%
6–8 years
5%
4–6 years
4%
6–12 months
3%

Job Zone 3 — medium preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

How to become first-line supervisors of production and operating workers

Typical education
High school diploma or equivalent
BLS
Related experience
Less than 5 years
On-the-job training
None

A step-by-step guide for this occupation is being prepared. The education, training and experience data above show the typical path.

Career path and how to earn more as first-line supervisors of production and operating workers

Career-path guidance is being prepared. Pay by percentile is shown in the Pay section.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.