Shigoto Zukan
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Cooks, All Other job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $51,900 · outlook score 63/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Food Service Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$37,690
25th–75th pct. $32,150–$43,680
Top pay (est.)
$66,500
Top 10% $51,140
Pay in 5 years
$44,200est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$51,900est.
$44,600–$60,200
Outlook score
63/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
25%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+5.2%
2,800 openings / yr

Projected pay for Cooks, All Other (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $37,690 → in 3 years $41,500 → in 5 years $44,200 → in 10 years $51,900 (10-year range $44,600–$60,200). The model assumes pay growth of +3.2% per year.

$37,690
Now
2026
$41,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$38,300–$45,100
$44,200
In 5 yrs
2031
$39,800–$49,300
$51,900
In 10 yrs
2036
$44,600–$60,200

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.06%AI impact +0.19%Total +3.2% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Cooks, All Other

63/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #172 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
8 pts
AI resistance
75 pts
Annual openings
84 pts
Projected growth
73 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Cooks, All Other

Employment
19K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
21K
2025–35
Projected change
+5.2%
ranked #220 for growth
Annual openings
2,800
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
68/100
Typical entry education
No formal educational credential
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.