Will AI replace millwrights?AI replacement risk 24% and how the work is changing

United States Manufacturing & Repair Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$65,700
25th–75th pct. $56,390–$81,500
Top pay (est.)
$121,700
Top 10% $93,600
Pay in 5 years
$76,300est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$88,600est.
$76,200–$102,900
Outlook score
50/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
24%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+0.9%
3,200 openings / yr

Will AI replace Millwrights? AI replacement risk

24%
Low
Ranked #169 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Millwrights

Key skills

Equipment Maintenance
3.8
Operations Monitoring
3.8
Repairing
3.8
Operation and Control
3.6
Troubleshooting
3.6
Coordination
3.5
Installation
3.4
Quality Control Analysis
3.2

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Mechanical
6.5
Building and Construction
5.5
Mathematics
4.7
Engineering and Technology
4.7
Education and Training
4.5
Design
4.3
Administration and Management
4.0
Physics
4.0

What the work involves

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical EquipmentHandling and Moving ObjectsControlling Machines and ProcessesPerforming General Physical ActivitiesInspecting Equipment, Structures, or MaterialsOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkCommunicating with Supervisors, Peers, or SubordinatesUpdating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Important abilities

Near VisionFinger DexterityManual DexterityControl PrecisionVisualizationExtent Flexibility

Education of workers

High school diploma
45%
Post-secondary certificate
36%
Some college
9%
Associate's degree
5%
Less than high school
5%

Training before entry

2–4 years
27%
4–10 years
18%
Up to 1 month
14%
None / short demo
9%
1–2 years
9%
1–3 months
9%
3–6 months
9%
6–12 months
5%

Related work experience

4–6 years
27%
None
23%
1–2 years
18%
2–4 years
9%
1–3 months
9%
Up to 1 month
5%
6–12 months
5%
3–6 months
5%

Job Zone 2 — some preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.