Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $66,400 · outlook score 37/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Manufacturing & Repair Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$51,330
25th–75th pct. $45,610–$61,250
Top pay (est.)
$94,000
Top 10% $72,280
Pay in 5 years
$58,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$66,400est.
$57,100–$77,100
Outlook score
37/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
34%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−6.2%
4,800 openings / yr

Projected pay for Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $51,330 → in 3 years $55,500 → in 5 years $58,400 → in 10 years $66,400 (10-year range $57,100–$77,100). The model assumes pay growth of +2.6% per year.

$51,330
Now
2026
$55,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$51,200–$60,300
$58,400
In 5 yrs
2031
$52,600–$65,000
$66,400
In 10 yrs
2036
$57,100–$77,100

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.51%AI impact +0.12%Total +2.6% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

37/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #719 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
36 pts
AI resistance
66 pts
Entry barrier
10 pts
Annual openings
53 pts
Projected growth
10 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

Employment
52K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
49K
2025–35
Projected change
−6.2%
ranked #737 for growth
Annual openings
4,800
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
32/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.