Tool and Die Makers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $81,300 · outlook score 39/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Manufacturing & Repair Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$64,050
25th–75th pct. $51,490–$78,770
Top pay (est.)
$120,500
Top 10% $92,680
Pay in 5 years
$72,200est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$81,300est.
$69,900–$94,400
Outlook score
39/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
40%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
−9.2%
4,300 openings / yr

Projected pay for Tool and Die Makers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $64,050 → in 3 years $68,800 → in 5 years $72,200 → in 10 years $81,300 (10-year range $69,900–$94,400). The model assumes pay growth of +2.4% per year.

$64,050
Now
2026
$68,800
In 3 yrs
2029
$63,500–$74,900
$72,200
In 5 yrs
2031
$65,000–$80,400
$81,300
In 10 yrs
2036
$69,900–$94,400

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.66%AI impact +0.07%Total +2.4% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Tool and Die Makers

39/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #690 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
55 pts
AI resistance
60 pts
Entry barrier
60 pts
Annual openings
26 pts
Projected growth
6 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Tool and Die Makers

Employment
57K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
52K
2025–35
Projected change
−9.2%
ranked #766 for growth
Annual openings
4,300
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Low
22/100
Typical entry education
Postsecondary nondegree award
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.