Median pay, top pay, projected pay in 5 and 10 years, AI replacement risk and labor demand for 800+ U.S. occupations and 500 Japanese occupations. What will your job pay in 10 years?
| Occupation | Median pay | In 10 yrs | Outlook | AI risk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashiers Retail · 3.1M workers | $32,880 | $42,000est. | 32/100 | 49% |
| 2 | Waiters and Waitresses Food Service · 2.3M workers | $35,230 | $48,000est. | 50/100 | 18% |
| 3 | Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Cleaning & Building Services · 2.2M workers | $36,840 | $50,200est. | 50/100 | 20% |
| 4 | Accountants and Auditors Accounting & Tax · 1.4M workers | $83,680 | $101,700est. | 47/100 | 86% |
| 5 | Construction Laborers Construction · 1.1M workers | $47,120 | $66,300est. | 67/100 | 8% |
| 6 | Project Management Specialists Management & Consulting · 1.1M workers | $102,320 | $131,400est. | 57/100 | 70% |
| 7 | Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education Education · 1.1M workers | $72,040 | $95,800est. | 45/100 | 36% |
| 8 | Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers Cleaning & Building Services · 953K workers | $39,150 | $54,100est. | 59/100 | 16% |
| 9 | Receptionists and Information Clerks Office & Admin · 910K workers | $38,010 | $46,400est. | 29/100 | 73% |
| 10 | Management Analysts Management & Consulting · 898K workers | $101,860 | $134,600est. | 69/100 | 66% |
| # | Occupation | Pay |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pediatric Surgeons | $559,030 |
| 2 | Cardiologists | $496,010 |
| 3 | Radiologists | $420,860 |
| 4 | Surgeons, All Other | $414,010 |
| 5 | Anesthesiologists | $391,490 |
| 6 | Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric | $358,550 |
| 7 | Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons | $352,220 |
| 8 | Emergency Medicine Physicians | $335,550 |
| 9 | Dermatologists | $328,730 |
| 10 | Physicians, Pathologists | $312,400 |
| # | Occupation | Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Therapists, All Other | 86/100 |
| 2 | Prosthodontists | 82/100 |
| 3 | Physical Therapist Assistants | 81/100 |
| 4 | Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance | 81/100 |
| 5 | Occupational Therapy Assistants | 80/100 |
| 6 | Construction Managers | 79/100 |
| 7 | Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary | 79/100 |
| 8 | Nurse Practitioners | 79/100 |
| 9 | Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists | 79/100 |
| 10 | Managers, All Other | 78/100 |
| # | Occupation | AI risk |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stonemasons | risk 6% |
| 2 | Terrazzo Workers and Finishers | risk 6% |
| 3 | Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons | risk 6% |
| 4 | Brickmasons and Blockmasons | risk 7% |
| 5 | Carpet Installers | risk 7% |
| 6 | Electricians | risk 7% |
| 7 | Pipelayers | risk 7% |
| 8 | Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters | risk 7% |
| 9 | Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers | risk 7% |
| 10 | Roofers | risk 7% |
| # | Occupation | AI risk |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Economists | risk 99% |
| 2 | Survey Researchers | risk 99% |
| 3 | Political Scientists | risk 98% |
| 4 | Sociologists | risk 94% |
| 5 | Geographers | risk 94% |
| 6 | Industrial-Organizational Psychologists | risk 93% |
| 7 | Statistical Assistants | risk 91% |
| 8 | Proofreaders and Copy Markers | risk 90% |
| 9 | Word Processors and Typists | risk 89% |
| 10 | Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks | risk 89% |
| # | Occupation | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pediatric Surgeons | $763,200 |
| 2 | Cardiologists | $686,400 |
| 3 | Surgeons, All Other | $570,700 |
| 4 | Radiologists | $565,200 |
| 5 | Anesthesiologists | $536,300 |
| 6 | Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric | $494,300 |
| 7 | Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons | $484,400 |
| 8 | Dermatologists | $456,700 |
| 9 | Emergency Medicine Physicians | $455,500 |
| 10 | Prosthodontists | $429,300 |
| # | Occupation | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nurse Practitioners | +41.0% |
| 2 | Solar Photovoltaic Installers | +36.5% |
| 3 | Data Scientists | +34.6% |
| 4 | Wind Turbine Service Technicians | +29.5% |
| 5 | Medical and Health Services Managers | +24.2% |
| 6 | Physical Therapist Assistants | +23.0% |
| 7 | Psychiatric Technicians | +22.3% |
| 8 | Computer and Information Research Scientists | +21.8% |
| 9 | Occupational Therapy Assistants | +21.5% |
| 10 | Ophthalmic Medical Technicians | +21.4% |
About 500 Japanese occupations with average pay from the national wage survey, converted to dollars at 157.25 JPY/USD. Japan vs. U.S.: the same jobs, different pay →
| Occupation | Average pay | ≈ USD | Outlook | AI risk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 産業医 · Healthcare | ¥15.12M | $96,169 | 68/100 | 15% |
| 2 | 小児科医 · Healthcare | ¥15.12M | $96,169 | 70/100 | 34% |
| 3 | 造園工 · Construction | ¥3.61M | $22,941 | 55/100 | 6% |
| 4 | 引越作業員 | ¥4.07M | $25,852 | 53/100 | 6% |
| 5 | 犬訓練士 | ¥5.83M | $37,094 | 68/100 | 0% |
| 6 | データエンジニア | ¥6.10M | $38,776 | 40/100 | 96% |
| 7 | 人事事務 · Office & Admin | ¥5.25M | $33,400 | 41/100 | 80% |
| 8 | 洋菓子製造、パティシエ · Office & Admin | ¥3.97M | $25,230 | 42/100 | 60% |
| 9 | とび · Architecture | ¥4.15M | $26,360 | 57/100 | 15% |
| 10 | 和菓子製造、和菓子職人 · Food Service | ¥3.97M | $25,230 | 51/100 | 24% |