Shigoto Zukan
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Will AI replace bus and truck mechanics and diesel engine specialists?AI replacement risk 36% and how the work is changing

United States Manufacturing & Repair Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$61,770
25th–75th pct. $50,540–$75,470
Top pay (est.)
$115,400
Top 10% $88,740
Pay in 5 years
$71,900est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$83,700est.
$72,000–$97,200
Outlook score
54/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
36%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.6%
24K openings / yr

Will AI replace Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists? AI replacement risk

36%
Low
Ranked #333 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists

Key skills

Repairing
3.9
Troubleshooting
3.8
Equipment Maintenance
3.4
Critical Thinking
3.4
Quality Control Analysis
3.2
Operations Monitoring
3.2
Operation and Control
3.1
Complex Problem Solving
3.0

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Mechanical
6.0
Transportation
4.4
Education and Training
4.2
Computers and Electronics
3.6
English Language
3.5
Physics
3.2
Public Safety and Security
3.2
Chemistry
3.2

What the work involves

Handling and Moving ObjectsControlling Machines and ProcessesRepairing and Maintaining Mechanical EquipmentUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsPerforming General Physical ActivitiesInspecting Equipment, Structures, or MaterialsRepairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment

Important abilities

Near VisionExtent FlexibilityHearing SensitivityVisualizationControl PrecisionOral Comprehension

Education of workers

Post-secondary certificate
39%
High school diploma
37%
Less than high school
1%

Training before entry

1–2 years
38%
3–6 months
21%
Up to 1 month
15%
None / short demo
11%
1–3 months
10%
4–10 years
2%
6–12 months
2%

Related work experience

1–2 years
35%
6–12 months
23%
2–4 years
22%
6–8 years
12%
4–6 years
7%

Job Zone 3 — medium preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.