Shigoto Zukan
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First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $60,500 · outlook score 60/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Food Service Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$44,080
25th–75th pct. $35,980–$54,570
Top pay (est.)
$85,200
Top 10% $65,570
Pay in 5 years
$51,600est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$60,500est.
$52,000–$70,300
Outlook score
60/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
30%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+5.4%
172K openings / yr

Projected pay for First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $44,080 → in 3 years $48,500 → in 5 years $51,600 → in 10 years $60,500 (10-year range $52,000–$70,300). The model assumes pay growth of +3.2% per year.

$44,080
Now
2026
$48,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$44,800–$52,800
$51,600
In 5 yrs
2031
$46,500–$57,500
$60,500
In 10 yrs
2036
$52,000–$70,300

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand +0.07%AI impact +0.15%Total +3.2% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

60/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #231 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
18 pts
AI resistance
70 pts
Entry barrier
31 pts
Annual openings
82 pts
Projected growth
74 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

Employment
1.2M
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
1.3M
2025–35
Projected change
+5.4%
ranked #209 for growth
Annual openings
172K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Very high
81/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.