Shigoto Zukan
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Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers?AI replacement risk 38% and how the work is changing

United States Manufacturing & Repair Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$79,860
25th–75th pct. $62,690–$101,360
Top pay (est.)
$164,800
Top 10% $126,790
Pay in 5 years
$93,000est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$108,300est.
$93,200–$125,800
Outlook score
58/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
38%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+4.1%
49K openings / yr

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers? AI replacement risk

38%
Low
Ranked #349 safest from AI among all U.S. occupations
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

How AI is changing this job

A written analysis for this occupation is being prepared.

AI replacement risk compares the parts of a job that are easy to hand to AI or software (processing information, documentation, repetitive computer work) with the parts that are hard to automate (physical work, working closely with people, judgment in unpredictable settings), using O*NET work activities, work context, skills and knowledge. The result is a relative position among all occupations in the country, scaled to 0–100%. Methodology →

Skills, education and requirements for First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers

Key skills

Management of Personnel Resources
4.0
Monitoring
4.0
Reading Comprehension
4.0
Critical Thinking
3.9
Time Management
3.9
Speaking
3.9
Social Perceptiveness
3.8
Coordination
3.8

O*NET skill level ratings (0–7).

Key knowledge areas

Mechanical
4.6
Administration and Management
4.4
Customer and Personal Service
4.4
Computers and Electronics
3.7
Mathematics
3.7
Personnel and Human Resources
3.6
Administrative
3.6
Production and Processing
3.5

What the work involves

Handling and Moving ObjectsCoordinating the Work and Activities of OthersOrganizing, Planning, and Prioritizing WorkGuiding, Directing, and Motivating SubordinatesUpdating and Using Relevant KnowledgeMonitoring Processes, Materials, or SurroundingsEstablishing and Maintaining Interpersonal RelationshipsCoaching and Developing Others

Important abilities

Oral ExpressionOral ComprehensionWritten ExpressionInformation OrderingWritten ComprehensionNear Vision

Education of workers

High school diploma
54%
Some college
17%
Post-secondary certificate
13%
Bachelor's degree
8%
Associate's degree
3%
Less than high school
3%
Doctoral degree
2%

Training before entry

Up to 1 month
28%
6–12 months
23%
None / short demo
14%
1–3 months
14%
1–2 years
10%
3–6 months
7%
2–4 years
4%

Related work experience

2–4 years
41%
None
12%
6–8 years
12%
1–2 years
11%
Over 10 years
7%
3–6 months
7%
6–12 months
5%
Up to 1 month
3%
4–6 years
1%

Job Zone 3 — medium preparation needed (O*NET)

Difficulty of entry: ★★☆☆☆ Fairly easy (from education, training, experience and Job Zone)

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.