Shigoto Zukan
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First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $83,900 · outlook score 40/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Office & Admin Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$69,500
25th–75th pct. $55,950–$85,090
Top pay (est.)
$136,100
Top 10% $104,710
Pay in 5 years
$76,400est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$83,900est.
$72,200–$97,400
Outlook score
40/100
★★☆☆☆ Below average
AI replacement risk
80%
High
Job growth (10 yr)
+0.1%
127K openings / yr

Projected pay for First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $69,500 → in 3 years $73,500 → in 5 years $76,400 → in 10 years $83,900 (10-year range $72,200–$97,400). The model assumes pay growth of +1.9% per year.

$69,500
Now
2026
$73,500
In 3 yrs
2029
$67,900–$80,000
$76,400
In 5 yrs
2031
$68,800–$85,100
$83,900
In 10 yrs
2036
$72,200–$97,400

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.2%AI impact -0.9%Total +1.9% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

40/100
★★☆☆☆
Below average · ranked #666 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
61 pts
AI resistance
20 pts
Entry barrier
71 pts
Annual openings
47 pts
Projected growth
29 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

Employment
1.4M
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
1.5M
2025–35
Projected change
+0.1%
ranked #580 for growth
Annual openings
127K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
Average
48/100
Typical entry education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience
Less than 5 years
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
None

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.