Shigoto Zukan
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Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop job outlookprojected pay in 10 years $42,700 · outlook score 54/100 · BLS employment projections

United States Food Service Confidence ★★★★★

Median annual pay
$31,200
25th–75th pct. $27,570–$36,250
Top pay (est.)
$57,200
Top 10% $43,990
Pay in 5 years
$36,500est.
2031
Pay in 10 years
$42,700est.
$36,700–$49,600
Outlook score
54/100
★★★☆☆ Average
AI replacement risk
21%
Low
Job growth (10 yr)
+3.4%
107K openings / yr

Projected pay for Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop (3, 5 and 10 years)est.

Today $31,200 → in 3 years $34,300 → in 5 years $36,500 → in 10 years $42,700 (10-year range $36,700–$49,600). The model assumes pay growth of +3.2% per year.

$31,200
Now
2026
$34,300
In 3 yrs
2029
$31,700–$37,300
$36,500
In 5 yrs
2031
$32,900–$40,700
$42,700
In 10 yrs
2036
$36,700–$49,600

What drives the annual growth rate

Base wage growth +3.0%Labor demand -0.03%AI impact +0.22%Total +3.2% / yr

Projected pay = current pay × (1 + annual growth)^years. The annual growth rate starts from a base wage-growth rate and adds or subtracts labor demand (BLS projected employment growth), wage momentum and AI replacement risk for each occupation. Projections are not guarantees. How it is calculated →

Outlook score for Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop

54/100
★★★☆☆
Average · ranked #410 of all U.S. occupations
Pay level
0 pts
AI resistance
79 pts
Entry barrier
5 pts
Annual openings
95 pts
Projected growth
56 pts

Each component is a percentile rank among all occupations in the same country (0–100). Weights: labor demand 25, wage momentum / openings 15, pay level 15, AI resistance 25, aging workforce 10 (Japan only), entry barrier 10.

Labor demand for Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop

Employment
433K
BLS OEWS
Projected employment
460K
2025–35
Projected change
+3.4%
ranked #357 for growth
Annual openings
107K
growth + replacement needs
Demand score
High
75/100
Typical entry education
No formal educational credential
Work experience
None
in a related occupation
On-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training

Employment projections are from the BLS Employment Projections program (2025–35). Annual openings include both new jobs and replacement of workers who leave the occupation.

Pay and employment figures are national statistics. Projected pay, outlook scores and AI replacement risk are estimates from the Shigoto Zukan model, not guarantees. To request a correction, use the contact form. How to read the data
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025–35; O*NET 31.0 Database by USDOL/ETA (CC BY 4.0), modified by Shigoto Zukan. Pay ranges, projections and scores are Shigoto Zukan estimates.